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PremiumExit Poll Results 2024 Live Updates: Most of the predictions released on Saturday have given clear majority to Congress party in Haryana and a hung house in Jammu and Kashmir.
The exit poll predictions by agencies are based on voter feedback collected after the polling.
As per Dainik Bhaskar's predictions, the Congress is predicted to win 44-54 seats in the 90-member Haryana assembly securing a clear majority. The BJP is predicted to get 19-29 seats as per this exit poll. The majority mark in Haryana is 46 seats.
Pollsters such as Axis My India, C-Voter, Nielsen and Chanakya will release their exit poll numbers, either independently or in collaboration with news channels, live-streamed the exit poll predictions for Haryana and J&K assembly poll from 6.30 pm, half an hour after the voting for 90 seats of Haryana was over.
The 90 seats of Jammu and Kashmir voted in three phases on September 18, 25 and October 1. The results of both elections will be declared on October 8.
In Jammu and Kashmir, the BJP is expected to win 20-25 seats while the National Conference-Congress alliance will bag 35-40 seats, according to Dainik Bhaskar exit poll. The PDP will win 4-7 seats while others will win 12-16 seats as per Dainik Bhaskar.
The India Today-C Voter has predicted 23-27 seats for the BJP in Jammu and Kashmir and 40-48 seats for the NC-Congress alliance. The PDP gets 6-12 seats and others 6-11 seats in J&K, according to India Today -C Voter exit poll.
The BJP will win 28-30 seats in J&K as per exit poll by local news channel, Gulistan. the NC will win 28-30 seats, the Congress 3-6 seats while the PDP will win 5-7 seats as per this exit poll. Others will get 8-16 seats.
Past Exit Polls
While the idea behind the exit polls is to reflect public sentiment well before the actual results are announced, their accuracy has faced scrutiny many times in the past.
For example, at least 12 exit polls predicted a landslide win for the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in Lok Sabha Election 2024. But the predictions were horribly wrong yet again. The BJP-led NDA finished with just 293 seats when the actual results came. In fact, unlike 2014 and 2019, the BJP failed to win a simple majority on its own.
In the last Jammu and Kashmir elections held in 2014, however, the exit poll predictions were close to the actual results. The exit polls had predicted that the PDP would be the single-largest party with 32-38 seats in the 87-member house, falling short of crossing the magic mark of 44 seats, followed by the BJP at 27-33. The National Conference (NC) was predicted to get 8-14 seats and the Congress at 4-10. The accuracy was close. Finally, the PDP won 28 seats, the BJP 25, the NC 15, and the Congress 12, not far off the mark.
In 2024 assembly polls in J&K, the NC and Congress are contesting elections in an alliance, while the BJP and the PDP are other big players in Jammu and Kashmir.
2019 Haryana Assembly Election Exit Poll
In the 2019 assembly polls in Haryana, exit poll results showed the BJP crossing the majority mark comfortably with most pollsters predicting more than 60 seats in the 90-member Haryana assembly for the saffron party. The exit polls gave about 18 seats to the Congress party.
As it turned out, exit polls proved inaccurate. In reality, BJP won 40 seats, six short of majority mark and the Congress won 31 seats.
The Congress-led INDIA bloc bagged 235 seats defying the exit polls.
BJP eyeing a hat-trick in Haryana
The ruling BJP is eyeing a hat-trick of electoral victories in the state, while the Congress party hopes to come back after being in opposition for a decade in Haryana.
Apart from the BJP and the Congress, the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), the Jannayak Janata Party (JJP), and the Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) also have stakes in today's election.
The exit poll results generate a lot of interest before the actual result day, their inaccuracy in the recent elections notwithstanding. What remains to be seen is how accurately the pollsters will predict the results of the Haryana and Jammu-Kashmir elections this time.
Catch all LIVE updates on Election Results Live Here
Exit Poll Results 2024 Live: After elections conclude later today, all eyes will be on exit poll predictions by different agencies. The pollsters will predict results of Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir assembly results from 6.30 am, half an hour after the voting for 90 seats in Haryana is over.
