Dr Lal PathLabs feels margin heat as it chases growth, long-term outlook remains strong

Dr Lal PathLabs is intensifying its focus on preventive and specialized diagnostics through its Swasthfit bundle test programme. (Image: Pixabay)
Dr Lal PathLabs is intensifying its focus on preventive and specialized diagnostics through its Swasthfit bundle test programme. (Image: Pixabay)

Summary

Dr Lal PathLabs is prioritizing long-term market share over short-term margins. Strategic bets on network and digital expansion aim to power future growth.

India’s largest diagnostics firm, Dr Lal PathLabs, stunned the Street with its March 2025 quarter results: a whopping 81.4% year-on-year (YoY) jump in net profit to 156 crore, easily beating market expectations. For FY25, the company posted a strong 35.6% YoY growth in net profit.

The initial reaction was euphoric—shares rose 6% after the results were announced. But the rally didn’t last. The stock slipped over 4% shortly after, as analysts flagged warning signs around profitability and growth visibility in the months ahead.

The results underscore a key shift in strategy: Dr Lal is prioritizing scale over short-term profitability, betting that deeper market penetration and volume growth will pay off in the long run. But in the near term, investors may have to stomach tighter margins.

Let’s break down the growth-versus-margins tradeoff.

Margin pressure, focus on volumes

In its latest earnings call, the company lowered its FY26 operating margin guidance to 27%, down from 28% in FY25, as it doubles down on investments in network and digital infrastructure. Importantly, it plans to hold off on price hikes, which will likely hit per-test realizations.

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Brokerages took note. Both ICICI Securities and InCred Equities downgraded the stock to ‘Hold’, citing near-term earnings pressure and muted visibility.

Still, this margin compression is part of a larger playbook. Dr Lal PathLabs is focusing on scale and reach, leaning on its Swasthfit test portfolio and geographic expansion to grow volumes. Price increases will be selective and only if broader industry dynamics s1`upport them.

The company followed a similar playbook in FY25—relying on a 9.5% YoY increase in volumes to deliver 10.5% YoY revenue growth, without any price hikes. That volume-led growth, combined with operating leverage, pushed its operating profit margin up 1.6 percentage points to 28.1% for the year.

Expansion and growth

Dr Lal PathLabs’ push into new geographies may compress margins in the short term, but the strategy is geared toward capturing greater market share over time.

Read this | Dr Lal PathLabs chases deals in ‘tough-to-crack’ South India, plans to double volume growth

The company is expanding its collection network and infrastructure, particularly in tier-3 and tier-4 towns, which are expected to drive a larger share of diagnostic demand going forward. These smaller towns already contribute around 40% of the industry’s diagnostic revenue and are growing at a much faster clip—about 25% annually—compared to 10% in metros.

The company’s revenue is geographically well diversified, with the north, east, west, and south accounting for 63%, 15%, 14%, and 6% of FY24 sales, respectively.

After adding 18 labs last year—mainly in its strongholds of north and east India—Dr Lal now plans to set up another 15–20 labs in FY26. If executed well, this ramp-up could support volume growth and reinforce its leadership in key markets.

Management has earmarked 60–70 crore in capital expenditure to support this expansion, which will include new labs, digital upgrades, and maintenance.

In the west and south, where its market presence is thinner, the company aims to use mergers and acquisitions (M&A) to scale up faster. With 292.6 crore in cash and no debt, Dr Lal is well positioned to close strategic deals as opportunities arise.

Swasthfit, specialized testing to power the next phase of growth

In addition to its geographic expansion, Dr Lal PathLabs is intensifying its focus on preventive and specialized diagnostics through its Swasthfit bundle test programme.

Currently, Swasthfit accounts for 24% of total revenue, growing at an annual rate of 2–2.5%. The company plans to extend this growth by expanding the program into additional disease segments.

Specialized tests, which now make up 20% of its offerings, present a highly profitable growth opportunity, with margins and potential significantly higher than routine tests.

The rise of non-communicable diseases (NCDs), such as cardiovascular conditions, diabetes, and cancer, is driving this focus. These lifestyle diseases are estimated to affect around 23 crore people by 2030, creating substantial demand for more advanced diagnostic services, according to the management.

To meet this need, Dr Lal is leveraging technology, broadening its reach, and ensuring quality diagnostics are accessible nationwide. The company has already introduced new tests and is expanding its lab network to improve accessibility.

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It is also investing in digital technologies, including advanced laboratory information systems and artificial intelligence (AI), to streamline operations and enhance diagnostic accuracy, ultimately improving the patient experience.

Strong financial profile underpins stability

Despite concerns over near-term margin compression, Dr Lal PathLabs’ robust financial profile offers a solid buffer against these pressures.

The company boasts a strong return on equity (RoE) of 28.8% and return on capital employed (RoCE) of 24.2%, with a five-year average operating profit margin of 26.9%. These figures reflect the company’s disciplined cost control and efficient operations.

Over the years, Dr Lal has consistently maintained healthy margins, bolstered by its strong customer mix, with more than 70% of revenues coming from the higher-margin B2C segment. Even during the FY22 acquisition of Suburban Diagnostics, it maintained a margin of 27%, supported by a strong cash position.

Brokerage firm Emkay Securities expects that improved lab utilization and operating leverage will help stabilize margins, despite ongoing investments in its network over the next two to three years.

As of 31 March 2025, the company held 292.6 crore in cash and cash equivalents, positioning it well to fund its planned 60–70 crore expansion while absorbing short-term margin pressures.

With no debt on its balance sheet, Dr Lal PathLabs is in a strong position to pursue growth opportunities without facing financial strain.

This financial strength may help explain why the stock has surged nearly 17% over the past month, despite mixed analyst views.

In conclusion

While Dr Lal PathLabs' focus on volume growth and geographic expansion may lead to near-term margin compression, its expanding footprint positions the company for sustained long-term growth.

Despite rising operating costs, the company’s strong financial profile provides a stable foundation. With impressive return ratios, a debt-free balance sheet, and a solid B2C revenue mix, Dr Lal PathLabs is well-equipped to continue investing in growth while maintaining financial strength.

Also read | For more such analyses, read Profit Pulse.

Though investors may need to exercise patience, the company’s strategic direction suggests that its long-term growth story remains firmly on track.

About the author: Ayesha Shetty is a research analyst registered with the Securities and Exchange Board of India. She is a certified Financial Risk Manager (FRM) and is working toward the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation.

Disclosure: The author does not hold shares in any of the companies discussed. The views expressed are for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Readers should conduct their own research and consult a financial professional before making investment decisions.

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