Axis My India’s Pradeep Gupta, who botched Indian election forecasts, claims he predicted Donald Trump’s win

Amid the Republican candidate and former US President Donald Trump won the US presidential elections, psephologist Pradeep Gupta and his team at Axis My America claimed on Wednesday that they have accurately predicted Donald Trump’s victory.

Axis My America’s forecast aligned closely with Donald Trump’s results in both the popular vote and the electoral college, Gupta said, adding Axis My America, a subsidiary of Axis My India, stood out for precisely capturing voter sentiment across key states.

“As counting enters the final lap, Axis My America's prediction of Donald Trump getting elected as the next US President is spot on for both popular vote and electoral votes. While many local pollsters missed the mark, Axis My America which is a subsidiary of Axis My India got it Bang on!” Pradeep Gupta posted on X.

The successful US prediction comes after a recent misfire by Axis My India in the latest Indian elections, including the Lok Sabha, and Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir polls.

Previous debacles:

In 2024 Lok Sabha Elections, Pradeep Gupta's Axis My India predicted that the Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) might secure over 400 seats in the Lok Sabha. This aligned with Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s slogan 'Abki Baar 400 Paar'.

Axis My India in the exit poll had projected that the BJP would capture between 322 and 340 seats, an increase from their 303 seats in 2019.

But the results appeared differently where the BJP fell short of a simple majority, and the National Democratic Alliance finished at 293 seats only.

In the Jammu and Kashmir assembly elections 2024 too, the Axis My India predicted a hung assembly with the Congress-National Conference combine could win between 35 and 45 seats, BJP 24-24, the PDP 4-6 and others 8-27 seats.

But in the final results, the J&K National Conference won 42 seats, the BJP won 29, the Indian National Congress won six, the J&K Peoples Democratic Party (JKPDP) won three, the J&K People Conference, Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) and Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) won one seat each, whereas seven seats were won by Independent (IND) candidates.

With agency inputs.