The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries expects global oil demand to slow next year, even as it raised its economic forecast as easing inflation spurs global growth.
The Vienna-based oil-producers’ cartel said in its monthly oil-market report that it sees oil-demand growth at 1.8 million barrels a day in 2025, supported by a solid Chinese economy. The estimate is below this year’s demand growth forecast, which the group left unchanged at 2.2 million barrels a day.
OPEC anticipates global economic growth will pick up next year and reach 2.8% from an estimated 2.6% this year, as central banks are expected to cut interest rates starting from the second half of 2024.
“Non-OECD economies—including the key oil-consuming economies of China and India, along with other Asian developing economies—are set to continue their healthy growth levels and be responsible for a large part of next year’s global economic growth,” the group said Wednesday.
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